Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.879533 3.442528 4.071924 4.825560 5.701175 6.684111 7.868652
2025-11-16 2.072762 2.789755 3.676182 4.843835 6.331516 8.152704 10.538636
2025-11-23 1.580984 2.350970 3.385893 4.859160 6.879286 9.525459 13.221762
2025-11-30 1.234874 2.004951 3.118162 4.811737 7.282019 10.704433 15.742073
2025-12-07 0.943657 1.663707 2.777317 4.577494 7.353446 11.395545 17.625044
2025-12-14 0.770295 1.462526 2.599459 4.537939 7.674753 12.441098 20.078409
2025-12-21 0.641038 1.304636 2.457103 4.520457 8.008353 13.514491 22.647773
2025-12-28 0.581867 1.257495 2.488363 4.785286 8.812890 15.376171 26.578223
2026-01-04 0.512977 1.176952 2.445160 4.909641 9.387249 16.910011 30.104447
2026-01-11 0.464448 1.126478 2.447280 5.110675 10.107638 18.736222 34.242719
2026-01-18 0.402210 1.033939 2.352633 5.114947 10.470187 19.977777 37.487535
2026-01-25 0.333016 0.910695 2.175527 4.932513 10.461994 20.563184 39.637567
2026-02-01 0.274598 0.800667 2.010400 4.756155 10.454862 21.166815 41.904269
2026-02-08 0.239045 0.738817 1.939989 4.766534 10.813274 22.468224 45.527121
2026-02-15 0.208864 0.683701 1.875329 4.779266 11.175143 23.802162 49.305857
2026-02-22 0.179768 0.624194 1.789634 4.731812 11.403632 24.893365 52.702584
2026-03-01 0.146326 0.542846 1.634793 4.500835 11.210562 25.133028 54.475814
2026-03-08 0.126589 0.497862 1.564955 4.461806 11.432082 26.218790 57.973945
2026-03-15 0.110497 0.460113 1.507502 4.444565 11.698963 27.415133 61.770881
2026-03-22 0.105926 0.460564 1.556624 4.705432 12.635232 30.083053 68.725313
2026-03-29 0.097171 0.443745 1.553173 4.827935 13.255167 32.119122 74.504920
2026-04-05 0.091386 0.436451 1.576793 5.025989 14.075715 34.646275 81.463433
2026-04-12 0.081052 0.408436 1.532085 5.030197 14.419410 36.147867 86.344960